Coinbase 8-K

NegativeEarningsGuidance loweredRestructuring

Weaker crypto trading markets pressured revenue despite record market share; FY2026 adjusted-expense guidance was cut and narrowed.

Filed 2026-07-30 16:06 ET

Summary

Q2 2026 results with Q3 and FY2026 expense guidance. Revenue and net loss declined as crypto trading markets weakened, while Coinbase reached an all-time high in crypto trading-volume market share. The company lowered and narrowed its FY2026 adjusted-expense outlook.

Key Figures

Metric Q2 2026 Q2 2025 Y/Y
Total revenue $1.22B $1.50B -19%
Operating income (loss) $(114)M $(24.7)M n/m
Net income (loss) $(359)M $1.43B n/m
Diluted EPS $(1.36) $5.14 n/m
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP) $208M $512M -59%
  • Trading revenue was $599M (-22% Y/Y) and subscription and services revenue was $555M (-12%); total-market spot trading volume fell 25% Q/Q. Coinbase’s crypto trading-volume market share reached an all-time high of 10.3%, and average USDC held in Coinbase products reached a record $20B.
  • Q3 transaction revenue was $130M through 7/26; Coinbase cautioned against extrapolating that figure. Prediction markets revenue and contracts more than doubled Q/Q, with annualized revenue above $100M as of Q2.
  • Six-month operating cash flow was $380M vs $1.09B, alongside net loss of $754M vs net income of $1.49B. Cash and cash equivalents were $8.61B at 6/30; H1 stock repurchases were $1.24B, and shares outstanding were 264M at 6/30 vs 268M at 12/31. Q2 included a $52.4M restructuring charge.

Guidance

Metric Period Guidance Prior Direction
Subscription and services revenue Q3 2026 $500M-$580M — —
Transaction expenses Q3 2026 Mid-teens as a % of net revenue — —
Adjusted Expenses (non-GAAP) Q3 2026 $980M-$1.08B — —
Technology and development + general and administrative + sales and marketing expenses (GAAP) Q3 2026 $1.015B-$1.120B — —
Stock-based compensation Q3 2026 ≈$245M — —
Adjusted Expenses (non-GAAP) FY2026 $4.20B-$4.45B $4.25B-$4.60B Lowered and narrowed
Technology and development + general and administrative + sales and marketing expenses (GAAP) FY2026 $4.34B-$4.60B $4.39B-$4.75B Lowered and narrowed

Investor Takeaways

  • Q3 results will show how transaction revenue develops after the $130M reported through 7/26 and whether subscription and services revenue lands within its outlook.
  • Watch whether lower expenses offset market-driven pressure on trading activity and the expected Q3 increases in USDC rewards and marketing.

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