Freeport-McMoRan 8-K

PositiveEarningsNew guidanceImpairment / charge

Higher metal prices supported margins as the Grasberg ramp-up and shipment timing reduced copper and gold sales

Filed 2026-10-27 08:08 ET

Summary

Q3 and nine-month 2026 results with a full-year 2026 outlook. Higher realized metal prices supported margins and cash flow, while lower copper and gold sales reflected the Grasberg Block Cave ramp-up and the timing of shipments and refined gold sales. FCX reported steady progress ramping Grasberg and the restart of PTFI’s smelter; it expects Grasberg to reach about 80% of capacity by mid-2027 and approach full capacity by year-end 2027.

Key Figures

Metric Q3 2026 9M 2026
Revenue $7.55B, +8.2% Y/Y $20.8B, +2.6% Y/Y
Operating income $2.35B, +19% Y/Y $6.49B, +14% Y/Y
Net income attributable to common stockholders $1.17B, +74% Y/Y $3.04B, +69% Y/Y
Adjusted net income attributable to common stockholders, non-GAAP $1.28B, +77% Y/Y $3.19B, +70% Y/Y
Diluted EPS $0.81, +76% Y/Y $2.10, +69% Y/Y
Adjusted diluted EPS, non-GAAP $0.88, +76% Y/Y $2.20, +71% Y/Y
Operating cash flow $1.98B, +17% Y/Y $5.52B, +12% Y/Y
Copper sales 749M lbs, -23% Y/Y 2.12B lbs, -26% Y/Y
Gold sales 105k oz, -69% Y/Y 349k oz, -65% Y/Y
  • Realized prices rose Y/Y: copper was $6.54/lb vs $4.68, gold $4,273/oz vs $3,539 and molybdenum $32.46/lb vs $24.07. Q3 copper production was 832M lbs and gold production 234k oz; lower sales chiefly reflected reduced PTFI operating rates during the Grasberg ramp-up and inventory and shipment timing. Adjusted net income excludes $101M of after-tax charges, primarily for mud-rush-related idle facility and restoration costs.
  • Q3 operating cash flow included $0.4B of working capital and other uses. At 9/30/2026, consolidated cash was $4.3B and debt was $9.4B; net debt was $1.8B excluding $3.2B of PTFI downstream-processing debt. FCX returned $955M to shareholders in 9M 2026: $650M in dividends and $305M in repurchases.
  • Q3 capital expenditures were $1.16B. Growth plans include a potential Bagdad expansion adding 200M–250M lbs of copper annually, with an investment decision expected in Q4 2026 and estimated incremental capital costs of ≈$4.5B. El Abra’s potential expansion could add over 700M lbs of annual copper production; its preliminary capital estimate is ≈$7.5B, based on 2024 estimates.

Against earlier guidance

Metric Period Earlier guidance Actual
Copper sales Q3 2026 750M lbs, July 2026 estimate 749M lbs
Gold sales Q3 2026 160k oz, July 2026 estimate 105k oz
Molybdenum sales Q3 2026 July 2026 estimate; figure not restated 22M lbs
Unit net cash costs, copper mines, non-GAAP Q3 2026 $2.00/lb, July 2026 estimate $2.07/lb
Compared with the earlier filings (derived)
MetricPeriodEarlier guidanceActualResult
Consolidated copper salesQ3 2026≈750M pounds749M lbsin line
Consolidated gold salesQ3 2026≈100,000 ounces105k ozbeat
Consolidated average realized copper priceQ3 2026>$6.50/lb$6.54in line

Guidance

Metric Period Guidance Prior Direction
Consolidated sales: copper, gold and molybdenum FY2026 ≈3.0B lbs; 649k oz; 93M lbs — —
Consolidated sales: copper, gold and molybdenum Q4 2026 875M lbs; 300k oz; 22M lbs — —
Unit net cash costs, copper mines, non-GAAP FY2026; Q4 2026 $1.90/lb; $1.68/lb — —
Site production and delivery costs, copper mines FY2026; Q4 2026 $3.29/lb; $3.34/lb — —
Unit net cash costs, U.S. copper mines, non-GAAP FY2026 ≈$3.08/lb — —
Unit net cash costs, South America, non-GAAP FY2026 ≈$2.59/lb — —
Unit net cash credits, PTFI, non-GAAP FY2026 ≈$1.25/lb — —
Unit net cash costs, molybdenum mines, non-GAAP FY2026 ≈$18.66/lb — —
Operating cash flow FY2026 ≈$8.5B, net of $0.6B of working capital and other uses — —
Capital expenditures FY2026 ≈$4.4B, including $3.0B for major mining projects — —
Consolidated effective tax rate FY2026 ≈30% — —
Copper sales FY2027; FY2028 3.7B lbs; 4.1B lbs — —
Copper sales target By 2030 4.5B–5B lbs annually — —
Incremental copper from leach initiatives 2027; potential by 2030 300M lbs; ≈800M lbs annually — —

Q4 cash-flow and cost outlook assumes copper at $6.50/lb, gold at $4,000/oz and molybdenum at $32/lb. FCX’s sales and cost outlook depends on operating performance, Grasberg and smelter ramp-up, weather, shipment timing and other factors.

Investor Takeaways

  • Track Grasberg throughput and sales against the ramp-up milestones: PTFI averaged 141k metric tons of ore per day in Q3, 67% of capacity, including 70k from Grasberg Block Cave; reaching about 80% by mid-2027 and near-full capacity by year-end 2027 would support the projected recovery in copper and gold sales.
  • Q4 gold sales are projected at 300k oz versus 105k oz in Q3, largely reflecting deferred refined gold sales; delivery of that volume would test the expected catch-up in PTFI sales.
  • Watch the Q4 Bagdad expansion investment decision and continued progress on leach initiatives, which target 300M lbs of annual incremental copper by 2027 and potential growth toward 800M lbs by 2030.

This summary is based on our transcription of the company's slides (EX-99.2), read by an AI model from the slide images.

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Model 005 · prompt v111 · 2026-10-27 14:38:38Z

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