Netflix, Inc. 8-K

PositiveEarningsGuidance loweredRestructuring

Slower ad-product rollout cuts FY2026 ad outlook to ≈$2.7B; expected Q4 real-estate closing cuts FCF outlook to ≈$12B

Filed 2026-10-20 16:01 ET

Summary

Q3 2026 results with Q4 and FY2026 guidance. Revenue rose 12% Y/Y to $12.9B and operating margin was 34.6%, above the company’s forecast mainly due to expense timing; revenue was in line with forecast. FY2026 advertising revenue and free cash flow outlooks were lowered, citing slower ad-product rollout and an expected Q4 real-estate transaction closing, respectively.

Key Figures

Metric Q3 2026 9M 2026
Revenue $12.9B, +12% Y/Y $37.7B, +14% Y/Y
Operating income $4.46B, +37% Y/Y $12.6B, +22% Y/Y
Operating margin 34.6%, vs 28.2% 33.5%, vs 31.3%
Net income $3.66B, +44% Y/Y $12.3B, +44% Y/Y
Diluted EPS $0.87, +49% Y/Y $2.90, +47% Y/Y
Operating cash flow $3.16B, +12% Y/Y $10.2B, +27% Y/Y
Free cash flow (non-GAAP) $2.88B, +8.4% Y/Y $9.50B, +25% Y/Y
  • Revenue growth was driven by subscription revenue, including membership and pricing increases, advertising growth and favorable foreign exchange; retention improved Y/Y. Operating income and margin were above forecast mainly because of expense timing and slightly higher revenue.
  • Repurchased 63.9M shares for $4.80B, vs $1.86B in Q3 2025; diluted weighted-average shares were 4.20B, down from 4.34B. Remaining repurchase authorization was $22.3B.
  • Gross debt was $15.3B and cash and cash equivalents were $8.2B; non-GAAP net debt was $7.11B. Gross debt was ≈$1B higher Q/Q after a $1B bond deal to fund a $1B Q4 maturity.

Against earlier guidance (derived from earlier filings)

MetricPeriodEarlier guidanceActualResult
Revenue; Y/Y growthQ3 2026$12.86B; 11.7% (11% FX-neutral)$12.9Bbeat
Operating incomeQ3 2026$4.268B$4.46Bbeat
Operating marginQ3 202633.2%34.6%beat
Net incomeQ3 2026$3.452B$3.66Bbeat
Diluted EPSQ3 2026$0.82$0.87beat

Guidance

Metric Period Guidance Prior Direction
Revenue (GAAP) Q4 2026 $13.442B; +11.5% Y/Y, +11% F/X-neutral — —
Operating income (GAAP) Q4 2026 $3.5B — —
Operating margin (GAAP) Q4 2026 26.0% — —
Net income (GAAP) Q4 2026 $2.787B — —
Diluted EPS (GAAP) Q4 2026 $0.67 — —
Revenue (GAAP) FY2026 $51.1B; +13% Y/Y, +12% F/X-neutral — —
Operating margin (GAAP) FY2026 31.5%; 31.4% at 1/1/2026 F/X rates — —
Advertising revenue FY2026 ≈$2.7B ≈$3B Lowered
Operating income growth (GAAP) FY2026 20%+ Y/Y — —
Free cash flow (non-GAAP) FY2026 ≈$12B $12.5B Lowered
Cash content spend to amortization ratio Annual ≈1.1x — —

Q4 revenue growth is expected from membership, pricing and advertising; the Q4 margin forecast includes an ≈120 bp negative impact from headcount reductions. FY2026 margin guidance includes an ≈30 bp impact from those reductions.

Guidance changes, derived from earlier filings
MetricPeriodEarlier guidanceGuidance nowChange
Revenue (GAAP)FY2026$51.0B-$51.4B; 13%-14% (≈12% FX-neutral)$51.1B; +13% Y/Y, +12% F/X-neutralnarrowed (raised low end, lowered high end)
Advertising revenueFY2026≈$3B; projected to roughly double≈$2.7Blowered
Free cash flow (non-GAAP)FY2026≈$12.5B≈$12Blowered
Operating income growth (GAAP)FY202620%+20%+ Y/Yreaffirmed

Investor Takeaways

  • Watch Q4 revenue and operating margin against guidance, including whether expense timing and headcount reductions affect the margin outcome.
  • Track FY2026 advertising revenue and free cash flow against the revised outlook; Netflix cited slower-than-expected ad-product capability rollout and an expected Q4 real-estate transaction closing.
  • The advertising tier is planned for 15 additional countries in 2027, with the first launches in March across nine EMEA countries, Colombia, Peru and New Zealand.

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Model 005 · prompt v95 · 2026-10-20 22:36:01Z

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